USGS data records the most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake as a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, at shallow 35 km depth along the Molucca Sea subduction zone—following a 7.3 offshore Vanuatu on March 30 and 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, signaling a short-term cluster in Pacific Ring of Fire hotspots. Globally, these powerful quakes average 15–20 per year, roughly every 18 days, driven by tectonic plate motions with no reliable short-term forecasts possible due to chaotic fault dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this statistical baseline amid 15 days of relative quiet, tracked via USGS real-time seismograph network; aftershock sequences from recent events carry low probability of another M7+, per operational aftershock forecasts, with continuous catalog updates shaping market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$38,878 Vol.
30 apr 2026
April 15
4%
April 30
37%
$38,878 Vol.
April 15
$15,117 Vol.
4%
April 30
$12,396 Vol.
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records the most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake as a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, at shallow 35 km depth along the Molucca Sea subduction zone—following a 7.3 offshore Vanuatu on March 30 and 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, signaling a short-term cluster in Pacific Ring of Fire hotspots. Globally, these powerful quakes average 15–20 per year, roughly every 18 days, driven by tectonic plate motions with no reliable short-term forecasts possible due to chaotic fault dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this statistical baseline amid 15 days of relative quiet, tracked via USGS real-time seismograph network; aftershock sequences from recent events carry low probability of another M7+, per operational aftershock forecasts, with continuous catalog updates shaping market shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercato aperto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$38,878Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS data records the most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake as a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, at shallow 35 km depth along the Molucca Sea subduction zone—following a 7.3 offshore Vanuatu on March 30 and 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, signaling a short-term cluster in Pacific Ring of Fire hotspots. Globally, these powerful quakes average 15–20 per year, roughly every 18 days, driven by tectonic plate motions with no reliable short-term forecasts possible due to chaotic fault dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this statistical baseline amid 15 days of relative quiet, tracked via USGS real-time seismograph network; aftershock sequences from recent events carry low probability of another M7+, per operational aftershock forecasts, with continuous catalog updates shaping market shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$38,878Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...USGS data records the most recent magnitude 7.0+ earthquake as a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, at shallow 35 km depth along the Molucca Sea subduction zone—following a 7.3 offshore Vanuatu on March 30 and 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, signaling a short-term cluster in Pacific Ring of Fire hotspots. Globally, these powerful quakes average 15–20 per year, roughly every 18 days, driven by tectonic plate motions with no reliable short-term forecasts possible due to chaotic fault dynamics. Trader consensus reflects this statistical baseline amid 15 days of relative quiet, tracked via USGS real-time seismograph network; aftershock sequences from recent events carry low probability of another M7+, per operational aftershock forecasts, with continuous catalog updates shaping market shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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