Latest KNMI forecasts point to a high of 18°C in Amsterdam on April 17 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeasterly winds and just a 30% chance of precipitation, aligning with trader consensus favoring this outcome at 42.5% implied probability. The tight race with 19°C (37.0%) reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble model spreads of 3–5°C clustering around 18–20°C, where variations in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing could boost peak temperatures by 1°C through enhanced solar insolation on clearer runs. Above the mid-April climatological average of 12–13°C, this mild anomaly stems from a stable high-pressure ridge persisting over northwest Europe. Watch overnight model refreshes and real-time KNMI station observations for resolution-defining shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 45%
19°C 38%
20°C 12%
17°C 7%
$11,614 Vol.
$11,614 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
45%
19°C
38%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 45%
19°C 38%
20°C 12%
17°C 7%
$11,614 Vol.
$11,614 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
45%
19°C
38%
20°C
12%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest KNMI forecasts point to a high of 18°C in Amsterdam on April 17 under partly sunny skies with light south-southeasterly winds and just a 30% chance of precipitation, aligning with trader consensus favoring this outcome at 42.5% implied probability. The tight race with 19°C (37.0%) reflects ECMWF and GFS ensemble model spreads of 3–5°C clustering around 18–20°C, where variations in cloud fraction and boundary layer mixing could boost peak temperatures by 1°C through enhanced solar insolation on clearer runs. Above the mid-April climatological average of 12–13°C, this mild anomaly stems from a stable high-pressure ridge persisting over northwest Europe. Watch overnight model refreshes and real-time KNMI station observations for resolution-defining shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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