Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (24.5%) and 25°C (24.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a 24°C maximum under sunny skies and light southerly winds at the Beijing Capital International Airport station—the market's resolution source. This follows April 16's cooler 18°C high amid light rain and northerly flow, marking a post-frontal clearing that boosts diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, where minor variations in cloud persistence or wind strength could push peaks to 23–26°C; historical mid-April highs average 21–23°C, heightening uncertainty as observations finalize tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
23°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,488 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,488 Vol.
17 apr 2026
21°C or below
3%
22°C
9%
23°C
13%
24°C
25%
25°C
26%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 26%
24°C 25%
23°C 13%
22°C 9%
NUOVO
$16,488 Vol.
NUOVO
$16,488 Vol.
17 apr 2026
21°C or below
$2,548 Vol.
3%
22°C
$1,936 Vol.
9%
23°C
$1,242 Vol.
13%
24°C
$813 Vol.
25%
25°C
$802 Vol.
26%
26°C
$2,191 Vol.
8%
27°C
$1,085 Vol.
4%
28°C
$2,265 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,167 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,485 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,271 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (24.5%) and 25°C (24.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a 24°C maximum under sunny skies and light southerly winds at the Beijing Capital International Airport station—the market's resolution source. This follows April 16's cooler 18°C high amid light rain and northerly flow, marking a post-frontal clearing that boosts diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, where minor variations in cloud persistence or wind strength could push peaks to 23–26°C; historical mid-April highs average 21–23°C, heightening uncertainty as observations finalize tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
Volume
$16,488Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (24.5%) and 25°C (24.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a 24°C maximum under sunny skies and light southerly winds at the Beijing Capital International Airport station—the market's resolution source. This follows April 16's cooler 18°C high amid light rain and northerly flow, marking a post-frontal clearing that boosts diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, where minor variations in cloud persistence or wind strength could push peaks to 23–26°C; historical mid-April highs average 21–23°C, heightening uncertainty as observations finalize tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,488Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 24°C (24.5%) and 25°C (24.5%) for Beijing's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast projecting a 24°C maximum under sunny skies and light southerly winds at the Beijing Capital International Airport station—the market's resolution source. This follows April 16's cooler 18°C high amid light rain and northerly flow, marking a post-frontal clearing that boosts diurnal heating. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread from global forecasts like ECMWF and GFS, where minor variations in cloud persistence or wind strength could push peaks to 23–26°C; historical mid-April highs average 21–23°C, heightening uncertainty as observations finalize tomorrow.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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