Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
NUOVO
$11,862 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,862 Vol.
17 apr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
NUOVO
$11,862 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,862 Vol.
17 apr 2026
18°C or below
$1,746 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$2,760 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,075 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$456 Vol.
2%
22°C
$893 Vol.
8%
23°C
$783 Vol.
16%
24°C
$807 Vol.
26%
25°C
$526 Vol.
25%
26°C
$845 Vol.
22%
27°C
$1,376 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$635 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$11,862Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,862Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of major forecast models like GFS and ECMWF around 24–26°C for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by lingering warmth from an anomalously hot April—monthly means 4.6°C above the 18.5°C norm—following recent cooling after peaks near 25°C on April 14. Latest guidance from SMN Argentina and sites like Meteoblue and Weather.com projects partly cloudy skies with moderate southerly winds (10–15 km/h), limiting peak heating but allowing urban effects and afternoon insolation to push highs into the mid-20s Celsius. Differentiating factors include model spread on cloud cover breaks and northerly wind shifts, with 23°C viable if overcast persists; official Aeroparque measurements will resolve amid typical 1–2°C short-term uncertainty, with final SMN updates expected today.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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