Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
15°C 33%
16°C 31%
18°C or higher 23%
17°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
7%
15°C
33%
16°C
31%
17°C
12%
18°C or higher
21%
15°C 33%
16°C 31%
18°C or higher 23%
17°C 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
8°C or below
$1,794 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,682 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,055 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,172 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$623 Vol.
1%
13°C
$767 Vol.
3%
14°C
$445 Vol.
7%
15°C
$370 Vol.
33%
16°C
$460 Vol.
31%
17°C
$422 Vol.
12%
18°C or higher
$614 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volume
$9,403Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,403Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a razor-thin race between 15°C (33%) and 16°C (30.5%) for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting divergent short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI), which projects a 14°C high under partly cloudy skies with a 40% precipitation risk, and warmer ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 15-16°C. Key differentiators include northerly winds moderating boundary-layer temperatures versus potential high-pressure ridging boosting solar insolation—clearer skies favor 16°C, while increased cloudiness tips toward 15°C. Recent cold snaps have held highs below 10°C, well above mid-April climatological norms of 9-11°C. Overnight model runs will refine uncertainty before tomorrow's observations resolve the market.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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