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La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?

Market icon

La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?

apr 15

apr 16

apr 17

apr 15

apr 16

apr 17

28°C 39%

29°C 39%

27°C 10%

30°C 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$29,059 Vol.

28°C 39%

29°C 39%

27°C 10%

30°C 8%

Polymarket
NUOVO

$29,059 Vol.

21°C o inferiore

$5,011 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$2,922 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$7,175 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$4,207 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$3,670 Vol.

<1%

26°C

$1,802 Vol.

4%

27°C

$1,807 Vol.

10%

28°C

$896 Vol.

39%

29°C

$1,273 Vol.

39%

30°C

$872 Vol.

8%

31°C o superiore

$843 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's latest observations of April 16 highs reaching 27.9°C at the Observatory amid a regional heatwave, with outlying stations like Waglan Island and Yuen Long Park hitting 29.9°C under persistent southerly airstreams delivering warm, humid air (84% relative humidity overnight). This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures forecasted for April-June 2026, favors 28-29°C peaks on April 17 via strong solar heating and urban heat island effects. The razor-thin split between these outcomes stems from model ensemble uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or sea breezes, which could cap highs at 28°C or allow 29°C breakthroughs. Key resolution hinges on Observatory readings; watch HKO updates at 12:40 and 20:40 HKT.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,059
Data di fine
17 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's latest observations of April 16 highs reaching 27.9°C at the Observatory amid a regional heatwave, with outlying stations like Waglan Island and Yuen Long Park hitting 29.9°C under persistent southerly airstreams delivering warm, humid air (84% relative humidity overnight). This setup, combined with above-normal seasonal temperatures forecasted for April-June 2026, favors 28-29°C peaks on April 17 via strong solar heating and urban heat island effects. The razor-thin split between these outcomes stems from model ensemble uncertainty over afternoon cloud development or sea breezes, which could cap highs at 28°C or allow 29°C breakthroughs. Key resolution hinges on Observatory readings; watch HKO updates at 12:40 and 20:40 HKT.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,059
Data di fine
17 apr 2026
Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Domande frequenti

"La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 11 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "28°C" a 39%, seguito da "29°C" a 39%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 39¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?" ha generato $29.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 15, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?", esplora i 11 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?" è "28°C" a 39%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 39% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "29°C" a 39%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "La temperatura più alta di Hong Kong il 17 aprile?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.