Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Houston's highest temperature on April 17 around 82-85°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth, aligning with trader sentiment favoring those outcomes at 39.5% and 32.0% implied probabilities. The narrow edge for 82-83°F reflects 60-70% odds of afternoon showers or thunderstorms—per recent forecast discussions—potentially limiting diurnal heating and solar insolation, while clearer skies in 84-85°F scenarios hinge on delayed convection. Historical mid-April averages hover at 79-80°F, but recent trends with minimal cloud cover have pushed daily highs into the low 80s. New 12z model updates today could shift the balance amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
NUOVO
$11,200 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,200 Vol.
17 apr 2026
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
32%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 32%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 13%
NUOVO
$11,200 Vol.
NUOVO
$11,200 Vol.
17 apr 2026
79°F or below
$1,280 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$611 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$547 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$477 Vol.
32%
86-87°F
$716 Vol.
13%
88-89°F
$1,574 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$1,954 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$590 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,225 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$1,010 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Houston's highest temperature on April 17 around 82-85°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth, aligning with trader sentiment favoring those outcomes at 39.5% and 32.0% implied probabilities. The narrow edge for 82-83°F reflects 60-70% odds of afternoon showers or thunderstorms—per recent forecast discussions—potentially limiting diurnal heating and solar insolation, while clearer skies in 84-85°F scenarios hinge on delayed convection. Historical mid-April averages hover at 79-80°F, but recent trends with minimal cloud cover have pushed daily highs into the low 80s. New 12z model updates today could shift the balance amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$11,200Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Houston's highest temperature on April 17 around 82-85°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth, aligning with trader sentiment favoring those outcomes at 39.5% and 32.0% implied probabilities. The narrow edge for 82-83°F reflects 60-70% odds of afternoon showers or thunderstorms—per recent forecast discussions—potentially limiting diurnal heating and solar insolation, while clearer skies in 84-85°F scenarios hinge on delayed convection. Historical mid-April averages hover at 79-80°F, but recent trends with minimal cloud cover have pushed daily highs into the low 80s. New 12z model updates today could shift the balance amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$11,200Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF project Houston's highest temperature on April 17 around 82-85°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting above-normal warmth, aligning with trader sentiment favoring those outcomes at 39.5% and 32.0% implied probabilities. The narrow edge for 82-83°F reflects 60-70% odds of afternoon showers or thunderstorms—per recent forecast discussions—potentially limiting diurnal heating and solar insolation, while clearer skies in 84-85°F scenarios hinge on delayed convection. Historical mid-April averages hover at 79-80°F, but recent trends with minimal cloud cover have pushed daily highs into the low 80s. New 12z model updates today could shift the balance amid inherent forecast uncertainty in convective timing.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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