Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
79°F or below
6%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
40%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 40%
84-85°F 34%
80-81°F 15%
86-87°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
79°F or below
$1,175 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$575 Vol.
15%
82-83°F
$491 Vol.
40%
84-85°F
$408 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$686 Vol.
12%
88-89°F
$1,194 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,801 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$510 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$998 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$573 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,585Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,585Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 82-83°F (38%) and 84-85°F (33.5%) for Houston's highest temperature on April 17, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating highs near 82-84°F amid persistent southerly winds from the Gulf of Mexico advecting warm, moist air above April climatological normals of around 80°F. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover and 20-60% chances of scattered showers or thunderstorms, which could limit diurnal heating and cap peaks at the lower end, while clearer skies favor the mid-80s as hinted in some Hobby Airport guidance near 87°F. Recent actual highs, like 83°F on April 14, and sparse recent rain support the warm bias, but new GFS/ECMWF runs overnight and morning observations will refine timing of any convective activity ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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