Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 33–35°C due to a warming trend following early April rains. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department bulletins and global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime highs of 33–36°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and low humidity, fostering hazy sunshine and limited cloud cover. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—stronger onshore flows could cap peaks at 33°C by advecting cooler Arabian Sea air, while delayed breezes amid light winds favor 35°C+ via enhanced land heating. AccuWeather's latest run eyes 36°C, but PMD's conservative 32–34°C range tempers optimism; watch tomorrow's PMD update for resolution shifts. Historical April averages hover at 34°C, underscoring model divergence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 27%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
35%
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 27%
34°C 18%
32°C 14%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
7%
32°C
14%
33°C
27%
34°C
26%
35°C or higher
35%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with implied probabilities clustered around 33–35°C due to a warming trend following early April rains. Recent Pakistan Meteorological Department bulletins and global models like GFS and ECMWF project daytime highs of 33–36°C under persistent high-pressure subsidence and low humidity, fostering hazy sunshine and limited cloud cover. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—stronger onshore flows could cap peaks at 33°C by advecting cooler Arabian Sea air, while delayed breezes amid light winds favor 35°C+ via enhanced land heating. AccuWeather's latest run eyes 36°C, but PMD's conservative 32–34°C range tempers optimism; watch tomorrow's PMD update for resolution shifts. Historical April averages hover at 34°C, underscoring model divergence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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