Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–24°C outcomes, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 17, which project peak highs in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup drives warm southerly advection and above-average insolation, with daytime boundary layer mixing supporting temperatures 5–7°C warmer than April climatological norms of ~17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—potentially reducing solar heating to favor 22°C—and urban heat island amplification in central Milan boosting toward 25°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor morning radiosonde data and hourly station updates for resolution per WMO standards.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 16%
$11,173 Vol.
$11,173 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
20%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 31%
23°C 29%
22°C 20%
25°C 16%
$11,173 Vol.
$11,173 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
20%
23°C
29%
24°C
31%
25°C
16%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–24°C outcomes, mirroring the spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 17, which project peak highs in this range under a dominant high-pressure ridge over central Europe. This setup drives warm southerly advection and above-average insolation, with daytime boundary layer mixing supporting temperatures 5–7°C warmer than April climatological norms of ~17°C at Milano Linate Airport. Differentiating factors include variable afternoon cloud cover—potentially reducing solar heating to favor 22°C—and urban heat island amplification in central Milan boosting toward 25°C. Inherent short-range uncertainty persists; monitor morning radiosonde data and hourly station updates for resolution per WMO standards.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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