Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting peak afternoon readings near 23.5°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over Lombardy. Recent developments include yesterday's observed high near 24°C amid post-Easter warmth above the April climatological average of 18°C, with light southerly winds aiding warm advection; however, differentiating factors hinge on subtle model disagreements over afternoon cumulus cloud development, which could limit insolation and cap peaks at 23°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing to 24°C boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect. New hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia stations and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 17%
25°C 15%
NUOVO
$12,461 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,461 Vol.
17 apr 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
17%
23°C
34%
24°C
31%
25°C
15%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 34%
24°C 31%
22°C 17%
25°C 15%
NUOVO
$12,461 Vol.
NUOVO
$12,461 Vol.
17 apr 2026
18°C or below
$3,097 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,415 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,097 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,010 Vol.
2%
22°C
$842 Vol.
17%
23°C
$496 Vol.
34%
24°C
$403 Vol.
31%
25°C
$477 Vol.
15%
26°C
$1,069 Vol.
4%
27°C
$869 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$695 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting peak afternoon readings near 23.5°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over Lombardy. Recent developments include yesterday's observed high near 24°C amid post-Easter warmth above the April climatological average of 18°C, with light southerly winds aiding warm advection; however, differentiating factors hinge on subtle model disagreements over afternoon cumulus cloud development, which could limit insolation and cap peaks at 23°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing to 24°C boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect. New hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia stations and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$12,461Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting peak afternoon readings near 23.5°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over Lombardy. Recent developments include yesterday's observed high near 24°C amid post-Easter warmth above the April climatological average of 18°C, with light southerly winds aiding warm advection; however, differentiating factors hinge on subtle model disagreements over afternoon cumulus cloud development, which could limit insolation and cap peaks at 23°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing to 24°C boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect. New hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia stations and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,461Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 23°C (32.5%) and 24°C (31.0%) for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs forecasting peak afternoon readings near 23.5°C under a stable high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear skies over Lombardy. Recent developments include yesterday's observed high near 24°C amid post-Easter warmth above the April climatological average of 18°C, with light southerly winds aiding warm advection; however, differentiating factors hinge on subtle model disagreements over afternoon cumulus cloud development, which could limit insolation and cap peaks at 23°C, versus prolonged sunshine pushing to 24°C boosted by Milan's urban heat island effect. New hourly updates from ARPA Lombardia stations and evening soundings will refine this uncertainty before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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