Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a transitional upper-air pattern following recent mild spells with early-summer-like warmth around 20-25°C, now moderated by potential low-level cloud cover and frontal boundaries influencing boundary layer mixing and insolation. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance aligns with ensemble means near 19°C, though divergences arise from varying depictions of afternoon convective activity. Historical April maxima average 14°C, making above-normal conditions plausible but sensitive to final short-range updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Munich on April 17?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 17?
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
17°C 6.7%
$13,991 Vol.
$13,991 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
27%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 34%
19°C 31%
20°C 27%
17°C 6.7%
$13,991 Vol.
$13,991 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
34%
19°C
31%
20°C
27%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Munich Airport's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 18-20°C, reflecting trader consensus in the closely matched implied probabilities for these outcomes amid inherent model uncertainty. This positioning stems from a transitional upper-air pattern following recent mild spells with early-summer-like warmth around 20-25°C, now moderated by potential low-level cloud cover and frontal boundaries influencing boundary layer mixing and insolation. Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) guidance aligns with ensemble means near 19°C, though divergences arise from varying depictions of afternoon convective activity. Historical April maxima average 14°C, making above-normal conditions plausible but sensitive to final short-range updates expected overnight.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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