Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project a high temperature near 78-81°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 17, driving the tight race between 78-79°F (30.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (25.5%). This follows April 15's near-record 88°F peak in Central Park amid an upper-level ridge fostering anomalously warm southwest flow well above the ~62°F April norm. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze timing, where clearer skies boost peak diurnal heating toward 80-81°F, while isolated showers or coastal moderation favor 78-79°F. Final 12Z/00Z runs and NWS updates today may sharpen consensus before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di New York il 17 aprile?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
77°F o inferiore 18%
82-83°F 16%
$18,703 Vol.
$18,703 Vol.
77°F o inferiore
18%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o superiore
<1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 26%
77°F o inferiore 18%
82-83°F 16%
$18,703 Vol.
$18,703 Vol.
77°F o inferiore
18%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
16%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) project a high temperature near 78-81°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 17, driving the tight race between 78-79°F (30.5% implied probability) and 80-81°F (25.5%). This follows April 15's near-record 88°F peak in Central Park amid an upper-level ridge fostering anomalously warm southwest flow well above the ~62°F April norm. Differentiating factors include model spreads on afternoon cloud cover and sea breeze timing, where clearer skies boost peak diurnal heating toward 80-81°F, while isolated showers or coastal moderation favor 78-79°F. Final 12Z/00Z runs and NWS updates today may sharpen consensus before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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