Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 78-81°F at Central Park, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 78-79°F leading at 31.5% implied probability. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal warmth—20-25°F over April averages of 62°F—following recent highs like 83°F on April 14 amid dry conditions. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat island effects, introducing uncertainty as peak heating could vary by 2-3°F. Updated NWS bulletins and hourly observations through midday April 17 will refine probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in NYC on April 17?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 17?
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 24%
77°F or below 22%
82-83°F 14%
NUOVO
$17,506 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,506 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F or below
22%
78-79°F
31%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 31%
80-81°F 24%
77°F or below 22%
82-83°F 14%
NUOVO
$17,506 Vol.
NUOVO
$17,506 Vol.
17 apr 2026
77°F or below
$2,714 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$1,433 Vol.
31%
80-81°F
$970 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$829 Vol.
14%
84-85°F
$836 Vol.
9%
86-87°F
$1,265 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$3,936 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$1,186 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$994 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$1,148 Vol.
<1%
96°F or higher
$2,237 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 78-81°F at Central Park, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 78-79°F leading at 31.5% implied probability. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal warmth—20-25°F over April averages of 62°F—following recent highs like 83°F on April 14 amid dry conditions. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat island effects, introducing uncertainty as peak heating could vary by 2-3°F. Updated NWS bulletins and hourly observations through midday April 17 will refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$17,506Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 78-81°F at Central Park, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 78-79°F leading at 31.5% implied probability. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal warmth—20-25°F over April averages of 62°F—following recent highs like 83°F on April 14 amid dry conditions. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat island effects, introducing uncertainty as peak heating could vary by 2-3°F. Updated NWS bulletins and hourly observations through midday April 17 will refine probabilities further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$17,506Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF project New York City's highest temperature on April 17 clustering around 78-81°F at Central Park, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes with 78-79°F leading at 31.5% implied probability. This reflects a persistent upper-level ridge fostering southerly winds and above-normal warmth—20-25°F over April averages of 62°F—following recent highs like 83°F on April 14 amid dry conditions. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloudiness, sea-breeze timing, and urban heat island effects, introducing uncertainty as peak heating could vary by 2-3°F. Updated NWS bulletins and hourly observations through midday April 17 will refine probabilities further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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