Finalized observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), archived via Wunderground, confirm the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached 62-63°F, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore winds from a cool Pacific air mass suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with pre-event NWS model guidance projecting highs near 62°F under partly cloudy skies. This fits mid-April climatology, where SFO average highs are 64°F, and mirrors recent cool spells like the 62°F peak on April 13. Post-finalization, revisions are ignored per market rules, leaving negligible risk of challenge barring extraordinary data discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a San Francisco il 15 aprile?
62-63°F 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66°F o superiore <1%
$61,906 Vol.
$61,906 Vol.
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o superiore
<1%
62-63°F 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66°F o superiore <1%
$61,906 Vol.
$61,906 Vol.
62-63°F
100%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: Sì
Finestra di contestazione
Finale
Finalized observations from the National Weather Service at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), archived via Wunderground, confirm the highest temperature on April 15, 2026, reached 62-63°F, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine stratus clouds and onshore winds from a cool Pacific air mass suppressed daytime heating, aligning precisely with pre-event NWS model guidance projecting highs near 62°F under partly cloudy skies. This fits mid-April climatology, where SFO average highs are 64°F, and mirrors recent cool spells like the 62°F peak on April 13. Post-finalization, revisions are ignored per market rules, leaving negligible risk of challenge barring extraordinary data discrepancies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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