Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (40.5% implied probability) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting mid-50s highs amid post-cold frontal conditions from a system that swept through on April 15, ending Cascade snow and ushering cooler marine air. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and northwest flow are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of 50s highs following an early April warm spell that peaked at 70°F on April 6. Model ensembles show limited spread, with minor upside risk from partial clearing, though climatological April norms around 57°F provide context for the tight clustering in 54-59°F bins (87% combined). Updated NWS guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
12%
54-55°F
22%
56-57°F
41%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F or higher
<1%
56-57°F 41%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 22%
52-53°F 12%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
51°F or below
$1,517 Vol.
1%
52-53°F
$759 Vol.
12%
54-55°F
$805 Vol.
22%
56-57°F
$672 Vol.
41%
58-59°F
$812 Vol.
27%
60-61°F
$1,218 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$726 Vol.
2%
64-65°F
$620 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$844 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$710 Vol.
<1%
70°F or higher
$902 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (40.5% implied probability) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting mid-50s highs amid post-cold frontal conditions from a system that swept through on April 15, ending Cascade snow and ushering cooler marine air. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and northwest flow are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of 50s highs following an early April warm spell that peaked at 70°F on April 6. Model ensembles show limited spread, with minor upside risk from partial clearing, though climatological April norms around 57°F provide context for the tight clustering in 54-59°F bins (87% combined). Updated NWS guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$9,555Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (40.5% implied probability) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting mid-50s highs amid post-cold frontal conditions from a system that swept through on April 15, ending Cascade snow and ushering cooler marine air. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and northwest flow are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of 50s highs following an early April warm spell that peaked at 70°F on April 6. Model ensembles show limited spread, with minor upside risk from partial clearing, though climatological April norms around 57°F provide context for the tight clustering in 54-59°F bins (87% combined). Updated NWS guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,555Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 56-57°F (40.5% implied probability) at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport on April 17, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecasts projecting mid-50s highs amid post-cold frontal conditions from a system that swept through on April 15, ending Cascade snow and ushering cooler marine air. Persistent low-level stratus clouds and northwest flow are suppressing daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of 50s highs following an early April warm spell that peaked at 70°F on April 6. Model ensembles show limited spread, with minor upside risk from partial clearing, though climatological April norms around 57°F provide context for the tight clustering in 54-59°F bins (87% combined). Updated NWS guidance expected later today could refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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