Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble weather model forecasts for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 28–30°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection from the north. Differentiating factors include varying predictions on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap highs at 28°C via coastal cooling, versus urban heat island effects and partial sun pushing toward 30°C; light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h add minor uncertainty. Recent observations show today's high near 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological mid-April norms of 26–27°C but elevated by the persistent ridge. Watch evening CMA updates and 00Z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 26%
27°C 9%
$13,241 Vol.
$13,241 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 26%
27°C 9%
$13,241 Vol.
$13,241 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
9%
28°C
26%
29°C
28%
30°C
26%
31°C
7%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble weather model forecasts for Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport's highest temperature on April 17, with global models like GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 28–30°C under a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting warm advection from the north. Differentiating factors include varying predictions on afternoon sea-breeze development, which could cap highs at 28°C via coastal cooling, versus urban heat island effects and partial sun pushing toward 30°C; light southerly winds around 10–15 km/h add minor uncertainty. Recent observations show today's high near 29°C amid partly cloudy skies, aligning with climatological mid-April norms of 26–27°C but elevated by the persistent ridge. Watch evening CMA updates and 00Z model runs for potential shifts before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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