The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects highs near 30°C in the Tel Aviv area on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, but Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for 34°C—the leading outcome—based on GFS and ECMWF ensemble means from the past 24 hours showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and enhanced daytime heating at Ben Gurion International Airport, the official resolution station via NOAA observations. Close competition among 33°C (23.5%), 35°C or higher (23.5%), and 32°C (16.5%) stems from model spread on sea breeze penetration and urban heat island effects, which could limit peaks to 33°C or push beyond 35°C with prolonged sunshine. Overnight forecast refinements and today's airport readings will clarify trajectories ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
34°C 33%
33°C 25%
35°C or higher 22%
32°C 20%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
25%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
22%
34°C 33%
33°C 25%
35°C or higher 22%
32°C 20%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
20%
33°C
25%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
22%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Israel Meteorological Service's latest forecast projects highs near 30°C in the Tel Aviv area on April 17 under clear skies and light winds, but Polymarket traders price a 29.5% implied probability for 34°C—the leading outcome—based on GFS and ECMWF ensemble means from the past 24 hours showing a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, promoting subsidence and enhanced daytime heating at Ben Gurion International Airport, the official resolution station via NOAA observations. Close competition among 33°C (23.5%), 35°C or higher (23.5%), and 32°C (16.5%) stems from model spread on sea breeze penetration and urban heat island effects, which could limit peaks to 33°C or push beyond 35°C with prolonged sunshine. Overnight forecast refinements and today's airport readings will clarify trajectories ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti