Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, driving trader consensus toward 18–19°C outcomes and reflecting limited solar insolation that caps warming. This mild spring setup features a stable air mass with southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 19°C highs, but persistent cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thinner breaks could boost to 19–20°C via enhanced surface heating, while heavier precipitation might drop to 17°C. Model ensembles show low confidence beyond ±1–2°C due to evolving frontal boundaries, with JMA hourly updates through April 16 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 aprile?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 17 aprile?
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
17°C 16%
20°C 12%
$24,266 Vol.
$24,266 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
16%
18°C
32%
19°C
37%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C o superiore
2%
19°C 37%
18°C 32%
17°C 16%
20°C 12%
$24,266 Vol.
$24,266 Vol.
12°C o inferiore
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
16%
18°C
32%
19°C
37%
20°C
12%
21°C
3%
22°C o superiore
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency forecast models have converged on a daytime high near 18°C for Tokyo on April 17 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional scattered showers, driving trader consensus toward 18–19°C outcomes and reflecting limited solar insolation that caps warming. This mild spring setup features a stable air mass with southerly flow, aligning with April climatological averages of 19°C highs, but persistent cloud cover introduces uncertainty—thinner breaks could boost to 19–20°C via enhanced surface heating, while heavier precipitation might drop to 17°C. Model ensembles show low confidence beyond ±1–2°C due to evolving frontal boundaries, with JMA hourly updates through April 16 expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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