Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning closely with the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.18 inches from National Weather Service data. This positioning stems from a drier-than-average start through April 13 (0.80 inches versus 1.53-inch normal), followed by a sharp surge from 1.06 inches of rain on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—bringing the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches (108% of normal through mid-month). NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook tilts toward below-normal precipitation due to persistent ridging, but short-range NWS forecasts and historical April variability in Pacific Northwest storm tracks introduce uncertainty for the remaining two weeks, with upcoming 8-14 day outlooks likely to refine remaining accumulation estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoPrecipitazioni a Seattle ad aprile?
Precipitazioni a Seattle ad aprile?
3-3.5" 43%
3.5-4" 17.6%
2.5-3" 12%
<2.5" 10%
$44,088 Vol.
$44,088 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<2.5"
12%
2.5-3"
12%
3-3.5"
51%
3.5-4"
18%
4-4.5"
2%
4.5-5"
2%
>5"
3%
3-3.5" 43%
3.5-4" 17.6%
2.5-3" 12%
<2.5" 10%
$44,088 Vol.
$44,088 Vol.
30 apr 2026
<2.5"
$12,451 Vol.
12%
2.5-3"
$8,405 Vol.
12%
3-3.5"
$18,788 Vol.
51%
3.5-4"
$1,171 Vol.
18%
4-4.5"
$1,174 Vol.
2%
4.5-5"
$1,129 Vol.
2%
>5"
$970 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning closely with the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.18 inches from National Weather Service data. This positioning stems from a drier-than-average start through April 13 (0.80 inches versus 1.53-inch normal), followed by a sharp surge from 1.06 inches of rain on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—bringing the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches (108% of normal through mid-month). NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook tilts toward below-normal precipitation due to persistent ridging, but short-range NWS forecasts and historical April variability in Pacific Northwest storm tracks introduce uncertainty for the remaining two weeks, with upcoming 8-14 day outlooks likely to refine remaining accumulation estimates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$44,088Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning closely with the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.18 inches from National Weather Service data. This positioning stems from a drier-than-average start through April 13 (0.80 inches versus 1.53-inch normal), followed by a sharp surge from 1.06 inches of rain on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—bringing the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches (108% of normal through mid-month). NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook tilts toward below-normal precipitation due to persistent ridging, but short-range NWS forecasts and historical April variability in Pacific Northwest storm tracks introduce uncertainty for the remaining two weeks, with upcoming 8-14 day outlooks likely to refine remaining accumulation estimates.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in inches in Seattle between April 1 and April 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Seattle City Area" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=sew link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,088Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 54.5% probability for 3-3.5 inches of total April precipitation at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), aligning closely with the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.18 inches from National Weather Service data. This positioning stems from a drier-than-average start through April 13 (0.80 inches versus 1.53-inch normal), followed by a sharp surge from 1.06 inches of rain on April 14—well above the daily normal of 0.11 inches—bringing the month-to-date total to 1.86 inches (108% of normal through mid-month). NOAA's Climate Prediction Center spring outlook tilts toward below-normal precipitation due to persistent ridging, but short-range NWS forecasts and historical April variability in Pacific Northwest storm tracks introduce uncertainty for the remaining two weeks, with upcoming 8-14 day outlooks likely to refine remaining accumulation estimates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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