Utah’s 3rd Congressional District carries a strongly Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the redrawn lines by roughly 41 points in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with about 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed. Maloy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling data reinforce the market’s assessment that Republican control remains the clear consensus outcome ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts show limited scope for reversal at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoUT-03 House Election Winner
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$12,508 Vol.
$12,508 Vol.
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Risolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Utah’s 3rd Congressional District carries a strongly Republican tilt, with Donald Trump carrying the redrawn lines by roughly 41 points in 2024 and nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Celeste Maloy secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary by defeating challenger Phil Lyman with about 66 percent of the vote, while Democrat Kent Udell advanced unopposed. Maloy’s substantial fundraising edge and the absence of competitive polling data reinforce the market’s assessment that Republican control remains the clear consensus outcome ahead of the November general election. Late developments such as a major scandal or abrupt national political shift could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical patterns in comparably partisan districts show limited scope for reversal at this stage.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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