Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 88-89°F and 90-91°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s to low 90s after early April's stormy pattern of thunderstorms and cold fronts. Recent model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF indicate peak afternoon heating around 89°F on average, with slight divergence due to lingering soil moisture from 0.1-0.14 inches of recent rain potentially capping at 88-89°F in drier runs, versus stronger southerly winds enhancing mixing to 90-91°F in others. Expect final NWS updates by evening, with observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport resolving the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 39%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8%
$10,565 Vol.
$10,565 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 39%
90-91°F 39%
86-87°F 13%
92-93°F 8%
$10,565 Vol.
$10,565 Vol.
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
13%
88-89°F
39%
90-91°F
39%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 88-89°F and 90-91°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance showing a high-pressure ridge promoting mostly sunny skies and highs in the upper 80s to low 90s after early April's stormy pattern of thunderstorms and cold fronts. Recent model ensembles from NOAA's Global Forecast System and ECMWF indicate peak afternoon heating around 89°F on average, with slight divergence due to lingering soil moisture from 0.1-0.14 inches of recent rain potentially capping at 88-89°F in drier runs, versus stronger southerly winds enhancing mixing to 90-91°F in others. Expect final NWS updates by evening, with observations from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport resolving the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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