Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 25°C (31% implied probability) for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies with southerly winds, following a cooler, rainy April 16 high of 17°C. High uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread—ECMWF and GFS diverge on peak afternoon heating—with clear skies potentially boosting solar insolation to 26°C via urban heat effects at Beijing Capital International Airport, while lingering clouds or gusts could cap it at 23°C (16%). Key variables include cloud evolution, wind shear, and soil moisture from recent rain; watch CMA hourly updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
25°C 32%
24°C 18%
23°C 17%
22°C 11%
新規
$24,210 Vol.
新規
$24,210 Vol.
2026/04/17
21°C or below
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
17%
24°C
18%
25°C
32%
26°C
10%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 32%
24°C 18%
23°C 17%
22°C 11%
新規
$24,210 Vol.
新規
$24,210 Vol.
2026/04/17
21°C or below
$3,690 Vol.
3%
22°C
$2,771 Vol.
11%
23°C
$2,528 Vol.
17%
24°C
$1,962 Vol.
18%
25°C
$1,186 Vol.
32%
26°C
$2,482 Vol.
10%
27°C
$1,557 Vol.
3%
28°C
$2,776 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,062 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,720 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$1,598 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 25°C (31% implied probability) for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies with southerly winds, following a cooler, rainy April 16 high of 17°C. High uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread—ECMWF and GFS diverge on peak afternoon heating—with clear skies potentially boosting solar insolation to 26°C via urban heat effects at Beijing Capital International Airport, while lingering clouds or gusts could cap it at 23°C (16%). Key variables include cloud evolution, wind shear, and soil moisture from recent rain; watch CMA hourly updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
音量
$24,210終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 25°C (31% implied probability) for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies with southerly winds, following a cooler, rainy April 16 high of 17°C. High uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread—ECMWF and GFS diverge on peak afternoon heating—with clear skies potentially boosting solar insolation to 26°C via urban heat effects at Beijing Capital International Airport, while lingering clouds or gusts could cap it at 23°C (16%). Key variables include cloud evolution, wind shear, and soil moisture from recent rain; watch CMA hourly updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,210終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 25°C (31% implied probability) for Beijing on April 17, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and World Meteorological Centre Beijing forecasts projecting around 24°C under sunny skies with southerly winds, following a cooler, rainy April 16 high of 17°C. High uncertainty stems from ensemble model spread—ECMWF and GFS diverge on peak afternoon heating—with clear skies potentially boosting solar insolation to 26°C via urban heat effects at Beijing Capital International Airport, while lingering clouds or gusts could cap it at 23°C (16%). Key variables include cloud evolution, wind shear, and soil moisture from recent rain; watch CMA hourly updates for shifts ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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