Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Guangzhou's April 17 high near 27-29°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge and surging low-level moisture fueling convective instability. Recent 24-hour updates show yesterday's 29°C peak giving way to increased cloud cover and 50-60% PM thunderstorm odds, capping insolation and favoring outcomes at 26°C or below (31%) and 29°C (26%) over hotter bins. Key differentiators include precip timing—early showers suppress to 26-27°C via reduced solar heating, while delayed convection permits brief 28-29°C spikes—against April climatological highs averaging 26°C. New hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 35%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
26°C or below
30%
27°C
22%
28°C
21%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 35%
28°C 21%
27°C 20%
29°C 20%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
26°C or below
$271 Vol.
30%
27°C
$146 Vol.
22%
28°C
$150 Vol.
21%
29°C
$144 Vol.
26%
30°C
$266 Vol.
10%
31°C
$136 Vol.
11%
32°C
$437 Vol.
2%
33°C
$403 Vol.
2%
34°C
$1,536 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,258 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Guangzhou's April 17 high near 27-29°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge and surging low-level moisture fueling convective instability. Recent 24-hour updates show yesterday's 29°C peak giving way to increased cloud cover and 50-60% PM thunderstorm odds, capping insolation and favoring outcomes at 26°C or below (31%) and 29°C (26%) over hotter bins. Key differentiators include precip timing—early showers suppress to 26-27°C via reduced solar heating, while delayed convection permits brief 28-29°C spikes—against April climatological highs averaging 26°C. New hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$6,378終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Guangzhou's April 17 high near 27-29°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge and surging low-level moisture fueling convective instability. Recent 24-hour updates show yesterday's 29°C peak giving way to increased cloud cover and 50-60% PM thunderstorm odds, capping insolation and favoring outcomes at 26°C or below (31%) and 29°C (26%) over hotter bins. Key differentiators include precip timing—early showers suppress to 26-27°C via reduced solar heating, while delayed convection permits brief 28-29°C spikes—against April climatological highs averaging 26°C. New hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could sharpen resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,378終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting Guangzhou's April 17 high near 27-29°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge and surging low-level moisture fueling convective instability. Recent 24-hour updates show yesterday's 29°C peak giving way to increased cloud cover and 50-60% PM thunderstorm odds, capping insolation and favoring outcomes at 26°C or below (31%) and 29°C (26%) over hotter bins. Key differentiators include precip timing—early showers suppress to 26-27°C via reduced solar heating, while delayed convection permits brief 28-29°C spikes—against April climatological highs averaging 26°C. New hourly guidance expected midday April 16 could sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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