Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 84-89°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of near 84°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show modest spread, with warmer members reaching 86-87°F via enhanced insolation and minimal cloud cover, while cooler outliers account for slight boundary layer mixing or diurnally variable heating. This unseasonably warm setup—far exceeding the 62°F climatological normal and nearing the 87°F record from 1941—hinges on afternoon peak conditions, with real-time observations at Central Park determining resolution as uncertainties in urban heat island amplification and exact wind shifts differentiate the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 15?
84-85°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 23%
82-83°F 12%
新規
$69,712 Vol.
新規
$69,712 Vol.
2026/04/15
79°F or below
1%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
23%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
88-89°F 23%
82-83°F 12%
新規
$69,712 Vol.
新規
$69,712 Vol.
2026/04/15
79°F or below
$13,284 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$8,943 Vol.
3%
82-83°F
$5,778 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$4,739 Vol.
33%
86-87°F
$4,861 Vol.
28%
88-89°F
$7,198 Vol.
23%
90-91°F
$6,132 Vol.
7%
92-93°F
$4,025 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$2,453 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$3,793 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$8,506 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 84-89°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of near 84°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show modest spread, with warmer members reaching 86-87°F via enhanced insolation and minimal cloud cover, while cooler outliers account for slight boundary layer mixing or diurnally variable heating. This unseasonably warm setup—far exceeding the 62°F climatological normal and nearing the 87°F record from 1941—hinges on afternoon peak conditions, with real-time observations at Central Park determining resolution as uncertainties in urban heat island amplification and exact wind shifts differentiate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
音量
$69,712終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 84-89°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of near 84°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show modest spread, with warmer members reaching 86-87°F via enhanced insolation and minimal cloud cover, while cooler outliers account for slight boundary layer mixing or diurnally variable heating. This unseasonably warm setup—far exceeding the 62°F climatological normal and nearing the 87°F record from 1941—hinges on afternoon peak conditions, with real-time observations at Central Park determining resolution as uncertainties in urban heat island amplification and exact wind shifts differentiate the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$69,712終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 84-89°F for New York City's Central Park high temperature today, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of near 84°F amid a dominant high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence warming, abundant sunshine, and light southwesterly winds advecting warm air from the south. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs show modest spread, with warmer members reaching 86-87°F via enhanced insolation and minimal cloud cover, while cooler outliers account for slight boundary layer mixing or diurnally variable heating. This unseasonably warm setup—far exceeding the 62°F climatological normal and nearing the 87°F record from 1941—hinges on afternoon peak conditions, with real-time observations at Central Park determining resolution as uncertainties in urban heat island amplification and exact wind shifts differentiate the leading outcomes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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