Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31%), 14°C (27.5%), and 16°C or higher (26%), driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts indicating a mild southerly airflow shift after April 14's cool 11°C high amid northerly showers and overcast skies at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site. Current morning observations show 8°C under heavy cloud cover, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon highs of 13-15°C, though persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C while brief insolation breaks might push toward 16°C via enhanced surface heating. Mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C highs, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloudiness and light gusts (11-21 km/h); real-time DWD updates this afternoon will clarify the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 15?
15°C 32%
14°C 29%
16°C or higher 26%
13°C 14.7%
$47,909 Vol.
$47,909 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
29%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
26%
15°C 32%
14°C 29%
16°C or higher 26%
13°C 14.7%
$47,909 Vol.
$47,909 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12°C
3%
13°C
15%
14°C
29%
15°C
32%
16°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 15°C (31%), 14°C (27.5%), and 16°C or higher (26%), driven by the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts indicating a mild southerly airflow shift after April 14's cool 11°C high amid northerly showers and overcast skies at Munich Airport station—the official resolution site. Current morning observations show 8°C under heavy cloud cover, with models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projecting afternoon highs of 13-15°C, though persistent low clouds could cap at 14°C while brief insolation breaks might push toward 16°C via enhanced surface heating. Mid-April climatology averages 13-14°C highs, underscoring inherent forecast uncertainty from variable cloudiness and light gusts (11-21 km/h); real-time DWD updates this afternoon will clarify the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
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