Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 74°F or higher at 51% implied probability for Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 82°F under southwesterly winds of 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, with recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs converging on 78-82°F amid an unseasonably warm ridge. This reflects a multi-day spring warmup pattern, including several 70°F+ days last week well above the April 15 normal of 59°F, fueled by southerly flow advecting mild air masses. However, a 30% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation—key factors tempering bets toward mid-70s outcomes. Watch hourly NWS updates and O'Hare observations as the boundary layer heats through midday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 15?
74°F or higher 51%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 4.2%
新規
$57,451 Vol.
新規
$57,451 Vol.
2026/04/15
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
16%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
51%
74°F or higher 51%
72-73°F 24%
70-71°F 16%
68-69°F 4.2%
新規
$57,451 Vol.
新規
$57,451 Vol.
2026/04/15
55°F or below
$11,749 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,765 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$12,928 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,112 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$3,251 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$4,100 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$5,247 Vol.
4%
70-71°F
$4,255 Vol.
16%
72-73°F
$3,412 Vol.
24%
74°F or higher
$7,717 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 74°F or higher at 51% implied probability for Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 82°F under southwesterly winds of 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, with recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs converging on 78-82°F amid an unseasonably warm ridge. This reflects a multi-day spring warmup pattern, including several 70°F+ days last week well above the April 15 normal of 59°F, fueled by southerly flow advecting mild air masses. However, a 30% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation—key factors tempering bets toward mid-70s outcomes. Watch hourly NWS updates and O'Hare observations as the boundary layer heats through midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
音量
$57,451終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 74°F or higher at 51% implied probability for Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 82°F under southwesterly winds of 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, with recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs converging on 78-82°F amid an unseasonably warm ridge. This reflects a multi-day spring warmup pattern, including several 70°F+ days last week well above the April 15 normal of 59°F, fueled by southerly flow advecting mild air masses. However, a 30% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation—key factors tempering bets toward mid-70s outcomes. Watch hourly NWS updates and O'Hare observations as the boundary layer heats through midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$57,451終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 74°F or higher at 51% implied probability for Chicago today, driven by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 82°F under southwesterly winds of 15 mph gusting to 25 mph, with recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs converging on 78-82°F amid an unseasonably warm ridge. This reflects a multi-day spring warmup pattern, including several 70°F+ days last week well above the April 15 normal of 59°F, fueled by southerly flow advecting mild air masses. However, a 30% chance of scattered afternoon showers and thunderstorms introduces uncertainty, potentially capping highs via increased cloud cover and reduced insolation—key factors tempering bets toward mid-70s outcomes. Watch hourly NWS updates and O'Hare observations as the boundary layer heats through midday.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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