Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 39.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest forecast models including AccuWeather's projection of 74°F (23°C) under humid conditions with partial sun turning cloudy. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs showing peaks between 22–24°C amid a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-April when average highs hover around 22°C. Yesterday's milder readings and increasing cloud cover cap upside potential, while low rain odds preserve warmth; real-time observations from Aeroparque station will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainties from any convective activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 15?
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 20%
21°C 14.1%
$40,073 Vol.
$40,073 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 40%
22°C 25%
24°C 20%
21°C 14.1%
$40,073 Vol.
$40,073 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
14%
22°C
25%
23°C
40%
24°C
20%
25°C
3%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 39.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires today, driven by the latest forecast models including AccuWeather's projection of 74°F (23°C) under humid conditions with partial sun turning cloudy. This aligns with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble runs showing peaks between 22–24°C amid a weakening autumn high-pressure ridge, typical for mid-April when average highs hover around 22°C. Yesterday's milder readings and increasing cloud cover cap upside potential, while low rain odds preserve warmth; real-time observations from Aeroparque station will sharpen resolution as the afternoon progresses, with uncertainties from any convective activity.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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