BMKG's latest forecast for April 17 projects light rain and mostly cloudy conditions across DKI Jakarta districts, with maximum temperatures reaching 31°C in Jakarta Selatan and Timur, 30°C elsewhere, and high humidity of 66–98% capping daytime heating amid the tail end of the rainy season. Despite this, traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 33°C as the highest—reflecting recent actual peaks of 33°C or more on April 15–16 that outpaced similar cloudy projections, influenced by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and variable afternoon clearing. Consensus next at 34°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25.0%) highlights uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, with official Halim Perdanakusuma Airport readings resolving the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 25%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 35%
34°C 28%
32°C 25%
31°C 6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
6%
32°C
25%
33°C
35%
34°C
28%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
BMKG's latest forecast for April 17 projects light rain and mostly cloudy conditions across DKI Jakarta districts, with maximum temperatures reaching 31°C in Jakarta Selatan and Timur, 30°C elsewhere, and high humidity of 66–98% capping daytime heating amid the tail end of the rainy season. Despite this, traders assign 38.5% implied probability to 33°C as the highest—reflecting recent actual peaks of 33°C or more on April 15–16 that outpaced similar cloudy projections, influenced by Jakarta's urban heat island effect and variable afternoon clearing. Consensus next at 34°C (28.5%) and 32°C (25.0%) highlights uncertainty in short-range tropical forecasts, with official Halim Perdanakusuma Airport readings resolving the market tomorrow.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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