Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 38°C (32.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday peaks of 37-39°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 28°C) tempers extremes via sea breeze inflow, but dry northerly Shamal winds and urban heat island effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) resolution site favor upper-30s outcomes. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onset caps at 37°C, delays allow 39°C—and minor cloud variations; National Center for Meteorology updates and overnight model runs could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution. Historical April mid-month highs average 35°C, but current setup signals above-normal heat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on April 17?
38°C 33%
39°C 25%
37°C 15%
40°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
33°C or below
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
8%
37°C
22%
38°C
33%
39°C
32%
40°C
9%
41°C
5%
42°C
3%
43°C or higher
<1%
38°C 33%
39°C 25%
37°C 15%
40°C 9%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
33°C or below
$986 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,218 Vol.
1%
35°C
$582 Vol.
5%
36°C
$358 Vol.
8%
37°C
$239 Vol.
22%
38°C
$234 Vol.
33%
39°C
$124 Vol.
32%
40°C
$141 Vol.
9%
41°C
$284 Vol.
5%
42°C
$589 Vol.
3%
43°C or higher
$793 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 38°C (32.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday peaks of 37-39°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 28°C) tempers extremes via sea breeze inflow, but dry northerly Shamal winds and urban heat island effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) resolution site favor upper-30s outcomes. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onset caps at 37°C, delays allow 39°C—and minor cloud variations; National Center for Meteorology updates and overnight model runs could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution. Historical April mid-month highs average 35°C, but current setup signals above-normal heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
音量
$5,549終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 38°C (32.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday peaks of 37-39°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 28°C) tempers extremes via sea breeze inflow, but dry northerly Shamal winds and urban heat island effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) resolution site favor upper-30s outcomes. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onset caps at 37°C, delays allow 39°C—and minor cloud variations; National Center for Meteorology updates and overnight model runs could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution. Historical April mid-month highs average 35°C, but current setup signals above-normal heat.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,549終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 38°C (32.5%) and 39°C (31.5%) for Jeddah's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting midday peaks of 37-39°C under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence and clear skies. Jeddah's coastal position along the warm Red Sea (surface temperatures near 28°C) tempers extremes via sea breeze inflow, but dry northerly Shamal winds and urban heat island effects at King Abdulaziz International Airport (OEJN) resolution site favor upper-30s outcomes. Key differentiators include sea breeze timing—earlier onset caps at 37°C, delays allow 39°C—and minor cloud variations; National Center for Meteorology updates and overnight model runs could sharpen implied probabilities before resolution. Historical April mid-month highs average 35°C, but current setup signals above-normal heat.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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