Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a high near 78-79°F at Central Park on April 17, amid a rare April heat wave transitioning under a weakening upper-level ridge. Recent observations hit 87°F on April 15, but latest GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate slight cooling with southwest winds and potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover and instability, capping peaks and differentiating the tight race between 78-79°F (35%) and 77°F or below (30.5%). Sea breeze enhancement from nearby waters could further moderate urban highs, while 80°F+ odds (34% combined) hinge on drier conditions persisting. New NWS updates tonight and tomorrow morning will clarify convective timing critical to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
4月17日のニューヨーク市の最高気温は？
華氏77度以下 34%
78～79°F 34%
80〜81°F 21%
82〜83°F 10%
新規
$28,358 Vol.
新規
$28,358 Vol.
2026/04/17
華氏77度以下
34%
78～79°F
34%
80〜81°F
21%
82〜83°F
10%
84〜85°F
2%
86～87°F
1%
88～89°F
1%
90〜91°F
<1%
92〜93°F
<1%
94〜95°F
<1%
96°F以上
<1%
華氏77度以下 34%
78～79°F 34%
80〜81°F 21%
82〜83°F 10%
新規
$28,358 Vol.
新規
$28,358 Vol.
2026/04/17
華氏77度以下
$4,340 Vol.
34%
78～79°F
$2,574 Vol.
34%
80〜81°F
$1,585 Vol.
21%
82〜83°F
$1,352 Vol.
10%
84〜85°F
$2,181 Vol.
2%
86～87°F
$1,957 Vol.
1%
88～89°F
$4,918 Vol.
1%
90〜91°F
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
92〜93°F
$2,215 Vol.
<1%
94〜95°F
$2,967 Vol.
<1%
96°F以上
$3,346 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a high near 78-79°F at Central Park on April 17, amid a rare April heat wave transitioning under a weakening upper-level ridge. Recent observations hit 87°F on April 15, but latest GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate slight cooling with southwest winds and potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover and instability, capping peaks and differentiating the tight race between 78-79°F (35%) and 77°F or below (30.5%). Sea breeze enhancement from nearby waters could further moderate urban highs, while 80°F+ odds (34% combined) hinge on drier conditions persisting. New NWS updates tonight and tomorrow morning will clarify convective timing critical to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$28,358終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a high near 78-79°F at Central Park on April 17, amid a rare April heat wave transitioning under a weakening upper-level ridge. Recent observations hit 87°F on April 15, but latest GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate slight cooling with southwest winds and potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover and instability, capping peaks and differentiating the tight race between 78-79°F (35%) and 77°F or below (30.5%). Sea breeze enhancement from nearby waters could further moderate urban highs, while 80°F+ odds (34% combined) hinge on drier conditions persisting. New NWS updates tonight and tomorrow morning will clarify convective timing critical to resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,358終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing a high near 78-79°F at Central Park on April 17, amid a rare April heat wave transitioning under a weakening upper-level ridge. Recent observations hit 87°F on April 15, but latest GFS and ECMWF model runs indicate slight cooling with southwest winds and potential afternoon showers or thunderstorms introducing cloud cover and instability, capping peaks and differentiating the tight race between 78-79°F (35%) and 77°F or below (30.5%). Sea breeze enhancement from nearby waters could further moderate urban highs, while 80°F+ odds (34% combined) hinge on drier conditions persisting. New NWS updates tonight and tomorrow morning will clarify convective timing critical to resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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