National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 56°F in Seattle on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds, driving trader consensus toward the 56-57°F outcome at 38% implied probability while keeping 54-55°F viable at 28%. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models show tight clustering around 55-59°F, reflecting consistent upper-level ridging and weak boundary layer mixing over Puget Sound, though minor spread arises from timing of morning marine stratus burn-off and afternoon cloud persistence, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks. This genuine uncertainty mirrors typical spring variability, with historical April highs averaging 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport; expect refined hourly guidance from NOAA throughout April 16 to sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56〜57°F 39%
54~55°F 27%
58〜59°F 19%
52〜53°F 13%
$15,455 Vol.
$15,455 Vol.
51°F以下
4%
52〜53°F
13%
54~55°F
27%
56〜57°F
39%
58〜59°F
19%
60〜61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64〜65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
華氏70度以上
<1%
56〜57°F 39%
54~55°F 27%
58〜59°F 19%
52〜53°F 13%
$15,455 Vol.
$15,455 Vol.
51°F以下
4%
52〜53°F
13%
54~55°F
27%
56〜57°F
39%
58〜59°F
19%
60〜61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64〜65°F
<1%
66〜67°F
<1%
68~69°F
<1%
華氏70度以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 56°F in Seattle on April 17 under mostly sunny skies with light south winds, driving trader consensus toward the 56-57°F outcome at 38% implied probability while keeping 54-55°F viable at 28%. GFS and ECMWF ensemble models show tight clustering around 55-59°F, reflecting consistent upper-level ridging and weak boundary layer mixing over Puget Sound, though minor spread arises from timing of morning marine stratus burn-off and afternoon cloud persistence, which could shave 1-2°F off peaks. This genuine uncertainty mirrors typical spring variability, with historical April highs averaging 57°F at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport; expect refined hourly guidance from NOAA throughout April 16 to sharpen resolution criteria.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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