The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のソウルの最高気温は？
4月17日のソウルの最高気温は？
18℃以上 70%
17℃ 26%
16℃ 5%
15℃ 2.6%
新規
$106,445 Vol.
新規
$106,445 Vol.
2026/04/17
8℃以下
<1%
9℃
<1%
10℃
<1%
11℃
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14℃
1%
15℃
3%
16℃
5%
17℃
26%
18℃以上
70%
18℃以上 70%
17℃ 26%
16℃ 5%
15℃ 2.6%
新規
$106,445 Vol.
新規
$106,445 Vol.
2026/04/17
8℃以下
$16,702 Vol.
<1%
9℃
$10,842 Vol.
<1%
10℃
$5,502 Vol.
<1%
11℃
$5,084 Vol.
<1%
12℃
$7,695 Vol.
<1%
13℃
$7,463 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$11,018 Vol.
1%
15℃
$9,973 Vol.
3%
16℃
$9,112 Vol.
5%
17℃
$6,655 Vol.
26%
18℃以上
$17,108 Vol.
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$106,445終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$106,445終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThe Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast projects a maximum temperature of 20°C for Seoul on April 17, anchoring trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability for 18°C or higher amid an ongoing early-spring warm anomaly. Recent highs reached 26°C on April 14—far exceeding the mid-April climatological average of 17–18°C—due to a persistent high-pressure ridge steering warm southerly air masses northward, with minimal cloud cover enhancing daytime heating. Ensemble model runs show consensus for upper-teens to low-20s peaks, though minor uncertainty persists from potential evening frontal boundaries or light winds. KMA hourly updates today and tomorrow will refine land surface observations against forecast guidance, potentially shifting probabilities near resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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