Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Toronto on April 17?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 17?
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 14%
新規
$12,351 Vol.
新規
$12,351 Vol.
2026/04/17
15°C or below
9%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
23%
19°C
14%
20°C
2%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 23%
19°C 14%
新規
$12,351 Vol.
新規
$12,351 Vol.
2026/04/17
15°C or below
$2,516 Vol.
9%
16°C
$900 Vol.
24%
17°C
$774 Vol.
30%
18°C
$550 Vol.
23%
19°C
$659 Vol.
14%
20°C
$1,807 Vol.
2%
21°C
$959 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,007 Vol.
1%
23°C
$820 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,319 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
音量
$12,351終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$12,351終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 16–18°C for Toronto's highest temperature on April 17, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecasts showing highs of 17–20°C amid a transition from April 16 showers to sunnier conditions under a building high-pressure ridge. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF agree on mild southerly flow advecting warmer air masses above seasonal norms (historical April average ~12°C at Pearson International Airport), but diverge on cloud persistence and timing—lingering low-level stratus could cap diurnal heating at 16–17°C, while clearer skies enable 18–19°C peaks via enhanced solar insolation. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing from light winds (10–15 km/h) and minimal precip risk (<30%). Watch for Environment Canada’s 5 a.m. EDT update tomorrow, which could refine probabilities as observations firm up.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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