Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (32.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models pointing to a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport after recent showers capped April 16 highs around 22°C. Partial clearing and light northerly winds are expected to allow stronger solar heating, but lingering clouds introduce uncertainty that could limit peaks to 26°C or push toward 28°C (16%). Mid-April climatology averages 23–25°C highs amid spring warming, with new model runs overnight likely to refine trader positioning ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
26°C 33%
27°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,029 Vol.
$14,029 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 33%
27°C 32%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
$14,029 Vol.
$14,029 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
12%
26°C
33%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 26°C (32.5%) and 27°C (33.5%) for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, driven by ensemble forecast convergence from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models pointing to a daytime maximum near 27°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport after recent showers capped April 16 highs around 22°C. Partial clearing and light northerly winds are expected to allow stronger solar heating, but lingering clouds introduce uncertainty that could limit peaks to 26°C or push toward 28°C (16%). Mid-April climatology averages 23–25°C highs amid spring warming, with new model runs overnight likely to refine trader positioning ahead of official observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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