Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 21°C high for Cape Town at 44.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C at 23.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with light winds shifting to moderate southerlies by afternoon—the region's famed "Cape Doctor" sea breeze that typically caps peaks 1-2°C below projections amid autumnal cooling. This positioning stems from recent global model runs, including ECMWF ensembles averaging 20-22°C, corroborated by AccuWeather's 21°C outlook and April climatology where southerly influences moderate highs from the 23°C baseline. Steady high-pressure dominance follows yesterday's partly cloudy skies with isolated showers elsewhere; real-time airport observations at Cape Town International (FACT) will sharpen resolution as peak heating occurs mid-afternoon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 16?
21°C 44%
22°C 29%
23°C 10%
20°C 5%
신규
$23,519 거래량
신규
$23,519 거래량
2026.04.16
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
5%
21°C
37%
22°C
29%
23°C
10%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 44%
22°C 29%
23°C 10%
20°C 5%
신규
$23,519 거래량
신규
$23,519 거래량
2026.04.16
16°C or below
$1,342 거래량
<1%
17°C
$986 거래량
<1%
18°C
$7,819 거래량
<1%
19°C
$8,391 거래량
<1%
20°C
$497 거래량
5%
21°C
$315 거래량
37%
22°C
$770 거래량
29%
23°C
$334 거래량
10%
24°C
$1,310 거래량
2%
25°C
$1,162 거래량
1%
26°C or higher
$629 거래량
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 21°C high for Cape Town at 44.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C at 23.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with light winds shifting to moderate southerlies by afternoon—the region's famed "Cape Doctor" sea breeze that typically caps peaks 1-2°C below projections amid autumnal cooling. This positioning stems from recent global model runs, including ECMWF ensembles averaging 20-22°C, corroborated by AccuWeather's 21°C outlook and April climatology where southerly influences moderate highs from the 23°C baseline. Steady high-pressure dominance follows yesterday's partly cloudy skies with isolated showers elsewhere; real-time airport observations at Cape Town International (FACT) will sharpen resolution as peak heating occurs mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
거래량
$23,519종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 21°C high for Cape Town at 44.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C at 23.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with light winds shifting to moderate southerlies by afternoon—the region's famed "Cape Doctor" sea breeze that typically caps peaks 1-2°C below projections amid autumnal cooling. This positioning stems from recent global model runs, including ECMWF ensembles averaging 20-22°C, corroborated by AccuWeather's 21°C outlook and April climatology where southerly influences moderate highs from the 23°C baseline. Steady high-pressure dominance follows yesterday's partly cloudy skies with isolated showers elsewhere; real-time airport observations at Cape Town International (FACT) will sharpen resolution as peak heating occurs mid-afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$23,519종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:20 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 21°C high for Cape Town at 44.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C at 23.5%, reflecting the South African Weather Service's (SAWS) latest forecast of a 23°C maximum under fine conditions with light winds shifting to moderate southerlies by afternoon—the region's famed "Cape Doctor" sea breeze that typically caps peaks 1-2°C below projections amid autumnal cooling. This positioning stems from recent global model runs, including ECMWF ensembles averaging 20-22°C, corroborated by AccuWeather's 21°C outlook and April climatology where southerly influences moderate highs from the 23°C baseline. Steady high-pressure dominance follows yesterday's partly cloudy skies with isolated showers elsewhere; real-time airport observations at Cape Town International (FACT) will sharpen resolution as peak heating occurs mid-afternoon.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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