Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with 36% implied probability for 35°C or higher edging out 34°C at 28.5% and 33°C at 21.5%, driven by an emerging heatwave in Sindh following early April rains that temporarily cooled peaks to 34°C on April 15. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks signal above-normal April temperatures amid dry continental highs, but coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—forecast at breezy speeds—could moderate afternoon peaks, as seen in today's partial cloud dip. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 34-36°C under partly cloudy skies, with PMD's next daily bulletin expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 30%
34°C 18%
32°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
10%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C or higher
36%
35°C or higher 49%
33°C 30%
34°C 18%
32°C 10%
신규
신규
2026.04.17
25°C or below
$1,979 거래량
<1%
26°C
$1,010 거래량
1%
27°C
$1,043 거래량
<1%
28°C
$536 거래량
1%
29°C
$617 거래량
1%
30°C
$782 거래량
1%
31°C
$180 거래량
5%
32°C
$67 거래량
10%
33°C
$6 거래량
30%
34°C
$26 거래량
29%
35°C or higher
$89 거래량
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with 36% implied probability for 35°C or higher edging out 34°C at 28.5% and 33°C at 21.5%, driven by an emerging heatwave in Sindh following early April rains that temporarily cooled peaks to 34°C on April 15. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks signal above-normal April temperatures amid dry continental highs, but coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—forecast at breezy speeds—could moderate afternoon peaks, as seen in today's partial cloud dip. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 34-36°C under partly cloudy skies, with PMD's next daily bulletin expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
거래량
$6,336종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with 36% implied probability for 35°C or higher edging out 34°C at 28.5% and 33°C at 21.5%, driven by an emerging heatwave in Sindh following early April rains that temporarily cooled peaks to 34°C on April 15. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks signal above-normal April temperatures amid dry continental highs, but coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—forecast at breezy speeds—could moderate afternoon peaks, as seen in today's partial cloud dip. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 34-36°C under partly cloudy skies, with PMD's next daily bulletin expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$6,336종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects genuine uncertainty in forecast models for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, with 36% implied probability for 35°C or higher edging out 34°C at 28.5% and 33°C at 21.5%, driven by an emerging heatwave in Sindh following early April rains that temporarily cooled peaks to 34°C on April 15. Pakistan Meteorological Department outlooks signal above-normal April temperatures amid dry continental highs, but coastal sea breezes from the Arabian Sea—forecast at breezy speeds—could moderate afternoon peaks, as seen in today's partial cloud dip. Ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models cluster around 34-36°C under partly cloudy skies, with PMD's next daily bulletin expected to refine guidance ahead of resolution based on official airport observations.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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