Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis resumed direct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026, launching ballistic missiles and drones at southern sites in coordination with Hezbollah and Iran amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran war, marking their first strikes since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire. Israel intercepted most projectiles with no reported casualties, prompting Houthi vows of gradual escalation through early April, including a claimed fourth attack. However, no further Yemen-launched strikes on Israel have occurred in the past 10 days as of April 16, amid signs of de-escalation from unreported backchannel diplomacy. Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi is scheduled to speak today, with traders monitoring for signals of renewed missile barrages, retaliatory Israeli airstrikes, or diplomatic off-ramps in this proxy conflict.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$35,512 거래량
4월 15일
1%
4월 30일
16%
$35,512 거래량
4월 15일
1%
4월 30일
16%
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
마켓 개설일: Apr 8, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Houthi forces that physically impact land under Israeli control.
Israeli ground territory, for the purposes of this market, refers to land internationally recognized as part of the State of Israel, including all territory under de facto Israeli government administration as of market creation. This includes the Israeli-controlled Golan Heights and East Jerusalem, but excludes the West Bank and Gaza Strip.
Missiles or drones that are intercepted before reaching the ground, or surface-to-air missile strikes, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution—regardless of whether debris lands on Israeli soil or causes damage.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If the date/time of a strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the third calendar date after this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis resumed direct military action against Israel on March 28, 2026, launching ballistic missiles and drones at southern sites in coordination with Hezbollah and Iran amid the escalating US-Israel-Iran war, marking their first strikes since the 2025 Gaza ceasefire. Israel intercepted most projectiles with no reported casualties, prompting Houthi vows of gradual escalation through early April, including a claimed fourth attack. However, no further Yemen-launched strikes on Israel have occurred in the past 10 days as of April 16, amid signs of de-escalation from unreported backchannel diplomacy. Houthi leader Abdulmalik al-Houthi is scheduled to speak today, with traders monitoring for signals of renewed missile barrages, retaliatory Israeli airstrikes, or diplomatic off-ramps in this proxy conflict.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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