Quebec General Election Winner

59%

Yes59%No41%

PLQ

30%

Yes30%No70%

$150K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$115K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$41K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

68%

chance

Yes

$91K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

54%

chance

Yes

$74K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

87%

Yes87%No13%

Heather McPherson

11%

Yes11%No89%

$47K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

11%

chance

Yes

$66K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

28%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

14%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

14%

Yes14%No86%

1.0–1.4%

13%

Yes13%No87%

NEW

Daily

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

42%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Canada

Quebec General Election Winner

59%

Yes59%No41%

PLQ

30%

Yes30%No70%

$150K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in March?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

Yes<1%No100%

25 bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

$115K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$41K Vol.

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

68%

chance

Yes

$91K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

18%

chance

Yes

$28K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

chance

Yes

$34K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

54%

chance

Yes

$74K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

chance

Yes

$20K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

31%

chance

Yes

$96K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Avi Lewis

87%

Yes87%No13%

Heather McPherson

11%

Yes11%No89%

$47K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

11%

chance

Yes

$66K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in April?

50+ bps decrease

Yes2%No98%

25 bps decrease

11%

Yes11%No89%

NEW

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

28%

chance

Yes

$30K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

14%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

<1.0%

14%

Yes14%No86%

1.0–1.4%

13%

Yes13%No87%

NEW

Daily

Will Alberta join the US?

chance

Yes

NEW

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↑1.50

34%

Yes34%No66%

↑1.45

51%

Yes51%No49%

NEW

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

42%

chance

Yes

NEW

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

50%

Down

NEW

Canada Odds & Predictions | Polymarket

Canada

Quebec General Election Winner

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Canada recession before 2027?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

Canada

Quebec General Election Winner

Bank of Canada decision in March?

Canada recession before 2027?

Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives before 2027?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Canada New Democratic Party Leadership Election Winner

Another Canada election called by June 30?

Bank of Canada decision in April?

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

Will Alberta join the US?

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

Canada's population Up or Down this year?