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Fidel predictions & odds

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US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?

17%

$69.2K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?

27%

$910 Vol.

$243 Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?

Will Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) beat quarterly earnings?

75%

$5 Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

56%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$253K Liq.

62

Ends in about 2 months

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

19%

$14.2K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

19%

$241K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

18

Ends in about 2 months

US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

37%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$176K Liq.

56

Ends in 8 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

22%

$194K Vol.

$186K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

23%

$9.7K Vol.

$738 Liq.

5

Ends in 28 days

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

45%

$97.8K Vol.

$45.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

27%

$35.1K Vol.

$1.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 8 months

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$5.4K Vol.

$97.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

Valorant: Mandatory vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs

84%

Mandatory

$229 Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

Valorant: LEO vs CTRL Esports (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Group B

CTRL Esports

$3.6K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B

89%

Natus Vincere

$12 Vol.

$45.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

LoL: New Meta vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular Season

LoL: New Meta vs FENNEL (BO3) - LJL Regular Season

92%

FENNEL

$1 Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

Francavilla: Justin Engel vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

51%

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

$1 Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Keyd (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

58%

Keyd

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

60%

Ricardo Ruiz Velasco

$82.2K Vol.

$519 Liq.

2

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage

55%

Fluxo W7M

$0 Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

Ends in about 18 hours

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Fidel.

Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Fidel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 37% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fidel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.