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Lula predictions & odds

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Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

81%

$3.8K Vol.

$17.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 4 months

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

39%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$61M Vol.

$658K today

$4M Liq.

5,576

Ends in 5 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

96%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$6M Vol.

$214K today

$548K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump talk to in April?

Who will Trump talk to in April?

80%

Ursula von der Leyen

$727K Vol.

$111K today

$105K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

67%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$3M Vol.

$72.8K today

$294K Liq.

27

Ends in 5 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

38%

Romeu Zema

$257K Vol.

$102K Liq.

38

Ends in 5 months

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

85%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$298K Vol.

$74.6K Liq.

102

Ends in 5 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

94%

Xi Jinping

$371K Vol.

$201K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will Trump meet with in April?

Who will Trump meet with in April?

13%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$136K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

Ends in about 15 hours

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

20%

Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

$3.8K Vol.

$39.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

45%

Flávio Bolsonaro 10%+

$228K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

10

Ends in 5 months

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

Lupus Esports

$1.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

LoL: LUA Gaming vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Season

90%

Barça eSports

$297 Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

69%

PL

$2.6K Vol.

$75.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

74%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$2.4K Vol.

$44.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

70%

PL

$12.5K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 5 months

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

83%

PL

$251K Vol.

$27.6K Liq.

9

Ends in 5 months

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

55%

Cleitinho Azevedo

$2.1K Vol.

$47.4K Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

11%

$61.4K Vol.

$16.5K Liq.

32

Ends in 5 months

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ceará Governor Election Winner

50%

Ciro Gomes

$5.9K Vol.

$55.9K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Lula.

Polymarket currently hosts 116 active markets for Lula that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $72.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Brazil Presidential Election,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Brazil Presidential Election,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 39% chance to Flávio Bolsonaro. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lula predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.