Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$2.7K Vol.

$3.6K Liq.

Ends in 26 days

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$719K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

Will Russia capture Sofiivka by...?

19%

April 30

$92.2K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 26 days

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$414K Vol.

$84.3K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

81%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

29%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$286K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?

7%

$1.1K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

91%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

91%

Republican Party

$3.1K Vol.

$59.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5M Vol.

$89.8K today

$1M Liq.

Ends in 2 months

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

54%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$105K Vol.

$63.1K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$60.8K Vol.

$13.6K Liq.

1

Ends in 9 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

82%

No change

$3M Vol.

$59.2K today

$309K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$48M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends in 25 days

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

How many major Space Weather events this week? (April 5 - April 11)

47%

<3

$38 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

21%

Paxton 9%+

$44.6K Vol.

$80.9K Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindi Pindiz

Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindi Pindiz

<1%

Quetta Gladiators

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

74%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$107K Vol.

$39.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

16%

September Meeting

$3.4K Vol.

$203K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

93%

Democratic Party

$0 Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like SOFR.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for SOFR that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will SOFR hit __ in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $64.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Pakistan Super League: Quetta Gladiators vs Rawalpindi Pindiz”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on SOFR predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.