Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?

Name: Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?
Start: 2026-03-18T10:07:46.566Z
End: 2026-03-22T12:00:00.000Z

Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22

Mar 23

13°C 38%

14°C 32%

12°C 13.1%

15°C 10%

$42,950 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026

7°C ou menos

$3,668 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$2,546 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$3,260 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$2,206 Vol.

11°C

$2,106 Vol.

12°C

$4,351 Vol.

13%

13°C

$5,511 Vol.

38%

14°C

$6,781 Vol.

32%

15°C

$4,724 Vol.

10%

16°C

$3,747 Vol.

17°C ou mais

$4,050 Vol.

13°C 38%

14°C 32%

12°C 13.1%

15°C 10%

$42,950 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026

7°C ou menos

$3,668 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$2,546 Vol.

<1%

9°C

$3,260 Vol.

<1%

10°C

$2,206 Vol.

11°C

$2,106 Vol.

12°C

$4,351 Vol.

13%

13°C

$5,511 Vol.

38%

14°C

$6,781 Vol.

32%

15°C

$4,724 Vol.

10%

16°C

$3,747 Vol.

17°C ou mais

$4,050 Vol.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Ensemble forecasts from the UK Met Office and ECMWF models drive trader consensus toward 13°C (37.5%) and 14°C (31.5%) as top outcomes for London's March 22 high, reflecting a mild Atlantic high-pressure ridge advecting warmer continental air amid light winds. Recent 12Z model runs show ensemble means clustering at 13.2°C, with slight upward revisions from earlier cooler biases, but persistent boundary-layer clouds introduce uncertainty differentiating the pair—partial overcast favors 13°C via reduced insolation, while clearer skies could push 14°C through enhanced surface heating and London's urban heat island effect. Historical late-March norms (11-13°C) and current soil moisture deficits support above-average odds, with official observations at Heathrow resolving the market.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado Mar 20, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "13°C" at 38%, followed by "14°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 38¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" has generated $43K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 18, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" is "13°C" at 38%, meaning the market assigns a 38% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "14°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $43K traded on “Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 38¢ for "13°C" in the "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 38% chance that "13°C" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 38¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 62¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Mar 22, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" market has an active community of 7,432 comments where traders share their analysis, debate outcomes, and discuss breaking developments. Scroll down to the comments section below to read what other participants think. You can also filter by "Top Holders" to see what the market's biggest traders are positioned on, or check the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?

Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?

Regras

Contexto de Mercado

Contexto de Mercado

Comentários (7,432)

Top Holders

Cargos

Actividade

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" prediction market?

How much trading activity has "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" generated on Polymarket?

How do I trade on "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?"?

What are the current odds for "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?"?

How will "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" be resolved?

Can I follow "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" without placing a trade?

Why are Polymarket's odds for "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" considered reliable?

How do I start trading on "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?"?

What does a price of 38¢ for "13°C" mean?

When does the "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?" market close?

What are traders saying about "Temperatura mais alta em Londres em 22 de março?"?

What is Polymarket?