Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 82-85°F, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering warm advection from the Gulf. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—stronger onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while ridge amplification might push 84-85°F via reduced mixing. Historical March 28 averages hover near 79°F, but elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (2-3°F above normal) and fading El Niño influences boost warmth odds. Model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level divergence, with upcoming 12z runs pivotal for refinement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Miami em 28 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Miami em 28 de março?
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
30°C a 30,5°C 11%
73°F ou menos
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
24%
30°C a 30,5°C
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92°F ou mais
2%
82-83°F 31%
84-85°F 24%
80-81°F 23%
30°C a 30,5°C 11%
73°F ou menos
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
23%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
24%
30°C a 30,5°C
11%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
3%
92°F ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on March 28 clusters tightly around 82-85°F, driven by the latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks in this range under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering warm advection from the Gulf. Differentiating factors include sea breeze timing—stronger onshore flow could cap highs at 80-81°F by enhancing coastal cooling, while ridge amplification might push 84-85°F via reduced mixing. Historical March 28 averages hover near 79°F, but elevated Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures (2-3°F above normal) and fading El Niño influences boost warmth odds. Model spread reflects uncertainty in upper-level divergence, with upcoming 12z runs pivotal for refinement.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions