Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF drive the tight race among 32-34°C outcomes for Singapore's March 24 high temperature, with trader-implied odds favoring 33°C at 31% amid forecasts of mostly fair skies and light winds. Singapore's tropical climate typically sees March peaks of 32-33°C, but urban heat island effects and delayed sea breezes—key moderators of afternoon maxima—could push toward 34-35°C if convection stays minimal, as hinted by recent GFS runs showing 90% humidity and low rain chances. Historical data shows March 24 highs averaging 32.5°C, with outliers from 30-36°C tied to monsoon transitions; upcoming NEA updates by midday will be pivotal for resolution criteria based on Changi Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 24 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Singapura no dia 24 de março?
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 29%
35°C ou mais 25%
25°C ou menos
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
14%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
29%
35°C ou mais
25%
33°C 31%
32°C 30%
34°C 29%
35°C ou mais 25%
25°C ou menos
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
14%
31°C
19%
32°C
30%
33°C
31%
34°C
29%
35°C ou mais
25%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 20, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble weather models from NOAA and ECMWF drive the tight race among 32-34°C outcomes for Singapore's March 24 high temperature, with trader-implied odds favoring 33°C at 31% amid forecasts of mostly fair skies and light winds. Singapore's tropical climate typically sees March peaks of 32-33°C, but urban heat island effects and delayed sea breezes—key moderators of afternoon maxima—could push toward 34-35°C if convection stays minimal, as hinted by recent GFS runs showing 90% humidity and low rain chances. Historical data shows March 24 highs averaging 32.5°C, with outliers from 30-36°C tied to monsoon transitions; upcoming NEA updates by midday will be pivotal for resolution criteria based on Changi Airport observations.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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