Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17 at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, with 19°C (39.5%) edging 18°C (37.5%) amid latest KNMI guidance projecting a daytime max near 19°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds advecting mild continental air. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 24 hours cluster 2-meter temperatures between 17–20°C, with differences hinging on cloud timing—greater insolation from sunny periods boosts peaks toward 20°C (17.5%), while increased low-level stratus from North Sea moderation favors 18°C or 17°C (5.5%). Above-normal April climatology (historical max ~14°C) underscores the warm anomaly, but final observational data and hourly KNMI updates today could shift the balance before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
19°C 40%
18°C 38%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$10,275 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,275 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
38%
19°C
40%
20°C
16%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 40%
18°C 38%
20°C 16%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$10,275 Объем
НОВОЕ
$10,275 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
12°C or below
$1,361 Объем
<1%
13°C
$1,817 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,232 Объем
<1%
15°C
$1,323 Объем
1%
16°C
$1,593 Объем
2%
17°C
$1,163 Объем
7%
18°C
$183 Объем
38%
19°C
$311 Объем
40%
20°C
$66 Объем
16%
21°C
$469 Объем
4%
22°C or higher
$1,092 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17 at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, with 19°C (39.5%) edging 18°C (37.5%) amid latest KNMI guidance projecting a daytime max near 19°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds advecting mild continental air. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 24 hours cluster 2-meter temperatures between 17–20°C, with differences hinging on cloud timing—greater insolation from sunny periods boosts peaks toward 20°C (17.5%), while increased low-level stratus from North Sea moderation favors 18°C or 17°C (5.5%). Above-normal April climatology (historical max ~14°C) underscores the warm anomaly, but final observational data and hourly KNMI updates today could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Объем
$10,275Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17 at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, with 19°C (39.5%) edging 18°C (37.5%) amid latest KNMI guidance projecting a daytime max near 19°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds advecting mild continental air. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 24 hours cluster 2-meter temperatures between 17–20°C, with differences hinging on cloud timing—greater insolation from sunny periods boosts peaks toward 20°C (17.5%), while increased low-level stratus from North Sea moderation favors 18°C or 17°C (5.5%). Above-normal April climatology (historical max ~14°C) underscores the warm anomaly, but final observational data and hourly KNMI updates today could shift the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$10,275Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17 at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, with 19°C (39.5%) edging 18°C (37.5%) amid latest KNMI guidance projecting a daytime max near 19°C under partly sunny skies and light southerly winds advecting mild continental air. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs over the past 24 hours cluster 2-meter temperatures between 17–20°C, with differences hinging on cloud timing—greater insolation from sunny periods boosts peaks toward 20°C (17.5%), while increased low-level stratus from North Sea moderation favors 18°C or 17°C (5.5%). Above-normal April climatology (historical max ~14°C) underscores the warm anomaly, but final observational data and hourly KNMI updates today could shift the balance before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы