Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 33–35°C for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent weekly outlook forecasting a moderate heatwave with hot, dry conditions across Sindh from April 13–19, following early-month record rainfall that temporarily suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Clear skies and low humidity near 30% are enabling strong solar insolation and radiative heating, while westerly winds and potential sea breeze from the Arabian Sea introduce uncertainty in afternoon peak moderation—global models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with ensembles centering near 34°C amid urban heat island effects. New PMD bulletins and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 17?
35°C or higher 49%
34°C 34%
33°C 21%
32°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
19%
33°C
21%
34°C
34%
35°C or higher
46%
35°C or higher 49%
34°C 34%
33°C 21%
32°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 апр. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$1,979 Объем
<1%
26°C
$1,010 Объем
1%
27°C
$1,043 Объем
<1%
28°C
$536 Объем
1%
29°C
$617 Объем
1%
30°C
$782 Объем
1%
31°C
$180 Объем
5%
32°C
$220 Объем
19%
33°C
$6 Объем
21%
34°C
$37 Объем
34%
35°C or higher
$89 Объем
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 33–35°C for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent weekly outlook forecasting a moderate heatwave with hot, dry conditions across Sindh from April 13–19, following early-month record rainfall that temporarily suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Clear skies and low humidity near 30% are enabling strong solar insolation and radiative heating, while westerly winds and potential sea breeze from the Arabian Sea introduce uncertainty in afternoon peak moderation—global models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with ensembles centering near 34°C amid urban heat island effects. New PMD bulletins and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Объем
$6,499Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 33–35°C for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent weekly outlook forecasting a moderate heatwave with hot, dry conditions across Sindh from April 13–19, following early-month record rainfall that temporarily suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Clear skies and low humidity near 30% are enabling strong solar insolation and radiative heating, while westerly winds and potential sea breeze from the Arabian Sea introduce uncertainty in afternoon peak moderation—global models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with ensembles centering near 34°C amid urban heat island effects. New PMD bulletins and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$6,499Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering around 33–35°C for Karachi's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Pakistan Meteorological Department's (PMD) recent weekly outlook forecasting a moderate heatwave with hot, dry conditions across Sindh from April 13–19, following early-month record rainfall that temporarily suppressed highs below seasonal norms. Clear skies and low humidity near 30% are enabling strong solar insolation and radiative heating, while westerly winds and potential sea breeze from the Arabian Sea introduce uncertainty in afternoon peak moderation—global models like GFS and ECMWF show slight divergence, with ensembles centering near 34°C amid urban heat island effects. New PMD bulletins and model updates expected overnight could refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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