Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) for Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from Roshydromet and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain risks. This positioning reflects April 16's observed mild conditions around 14°C with showers, transitioning under a southeasterly flow and weak high-pressure ridge that caps warming potential despite above-normal monthly means (8.5°C vs. 6.9°C norm). Symmetric odds for 11°C and 13°C (18% each) capture model spread from timing of cloudiness and boundary layer mixing, with resolution based on official Vnukovo observations; evening forecast updates may sharpen these uncertainties before tomorrow's midday peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 42%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,021 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,021 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
7%
11°C
19%
12°C
42%
13°C
24%
14°C
14%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 42%
13°C 24%
11°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВОЕ
$16,021 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,021 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$2,080 Объем
1%
8°C
$1,858 Объем
<1%
9°C
$731 Объем
1%
10°C
$423 Объем
7%
11°C
$315 Объем
19%
12°C
$248 Объем
42%
13°C
$246 Объем
24%
14°C
$682 Объем
14%
15°C
$2,227 Объем
3%
16°C
$3,140 Объем
1%
17°C or higher
$4,074 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) for Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from Roshydromet and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain risks. This positioning reflects April 16's observed mild conditions around 14°C with showers, transitioning under a southeasterly flow and weak high-pressure ridge that caps warming potential despite above-normal monthly means (8.5°C vs. 6.9°C norm). Symmetric odds for 11°C and 13°C (18% each) capture model spread from timing of cloudiness and boundary layer mixing, with resolution based on official Vnukovo observations; evening forecast updates may sharpen these uncertainties before tomorrow's midday peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$16,021Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) for Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from Roshydromet and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain risks. This positioning reflects April 16's observed mild conditions around 14°C with showers, transitioning under a southeasterly flow and weak high-pressure ridge that caps warming potential despite above-normal monthly means (8.5°C vs. 6.9°C norm). Symmetric odds for 11°C and 13°C (18% each) capture model spread from timing of cloudiness and boundary layer mixing, with resolution based on official Vnukovo observations; evening forecast updates may sharpen these uncertainties before tomorrow's midday peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$16,021Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (42% implied probability) for Moscow on April 17, driven by the latest guidance from Roshydromet and international models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs near 12–13°C amid persistent cloud cover and light rain risks. This positioning reflects April 16's observed mild conditions around 14°C with showers, transitioning under a southeasterly flow and weak high-pressure ridge that caps warming potential despite above-normal monthly means (8.5°C vs. 6.9°C norm). Symmetric odds for 11°C and 13°C (18% each) capture model spread from timing of cloudiness and boundary layer mixing, with resolution based on official Vnukovo observations; evening forecast updates may sharpen these uncertainties before tomorrow's midday peak.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы