Latest short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 around 11–13°C under overcast conditions with possible light showers, aligning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 12°C amid clustered outcomes nearby. Recent observations show cooler-than-initially-forecasted spring weather, including an April 15 high of 10°C versus earlier +17°C projections, due to persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating per Russian Hydrometcenter data. Climatological norms for mid-April support these levels, with historical highs averaging 10–12°C; low uncertainty remains as upper-air patterns stabilize, though localized precipitation could trim peaks—watch 12z model updates for final refinements before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 17?
12°C 36%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
14°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$14,516 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,516 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
2%
10°C
7%
11°C
18%
12°C
36%
13°C
25%
14°C
13%
15°C
3%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
12°C 36%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
14°C 13%
НОВОЕ
$14,516 Объем
НОВОЕ
$14,516 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
7°C or below
$1,496 Объем
1%
8°C
$1,618 Объем
<1%
9°C
$642 Объем
2%
10°C
$396 Объем
7%
11°C
$301 Объем
18%
12°C
$187 Объем
36%
13°C
$207 Объем
25%
14°C
$607 Объем
13%
15°C
$2,126 Объем
3%
16°C
$2,875 Объем
1%
17°C or higher
$4,071 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 around 11–13°C under overcast conditions with possible light showers, aligning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 12°C amid clustered outcomes nearby. Recent observations show cooler-than-initially-forecasted spring weather, including an April 15 high of 10°C versus earlier +17°C projections, due to persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating per Russian Hydrometcenter data. Climatological norms for mid-April support these levels, with historical highs averaging 10–12°C; low uncertainty remains as upper-air patterns stabilize, though localized precipitation could trim peaks—watch 12z model updates for final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Объем
$14,516Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 around 11–13°C under overcast conditions with possible light showers, aligning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 12°C amid clustered outcomes nearby. Recent observations show cooler-than-initially-forecasted spring weather, including an April 15 high of 10°C versus earlier +17°C projections, due to persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating per Russian Hydrometcenter data. Climatological norms for mid-April support these levels, with historical highs averaging 10–12°C; low uncertainty remains as upper-air patterns stabilize, though localized precipitation could trim peaks—watch 12z model updates for final refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$14,516Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast ensembles from ECMWF and GFS models project Moscow's highest temperature on April 17 around 11–13°C under overcast conditions with possible light showers, aligning trader consensus at 37% implied probability for 12°C amid clustered outcomes nearby. Recent observations show cooler-than-initially-forecasted spring weather, including an April 15 high of 10°C versus earlier +17°C projections, due to persistent northerly airflow and cloud cover suppressing daytime heating per Russian Hydrometcenter data. Climatological norms for mid-April support these levels, with historical highs averaging 10–12°C; low uncertainty remains as upper-air patterns stabilize, though localized precipitation could trim peaks—watch 12z model updates for final refinements before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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