Trader consensus on Polymarket's San Francisco high temperature market for April 17 closely splits among 66-67°F (30.5% implied probability), 68-69°F (26.5%), and 64-65°F (20%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a high near 67°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-15 mph. Key differentiators include the timing of morning marine stratus cloud burn-off—earlier clearance favors upper-60s peaks, while persistence caps at mid-60s—and afternoon onshore flow strength, which moderates coastal warming amid a weak upper-level ridge offshore. April climatology averages 63°F highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show slight spread due to variable boundary layer mixing; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official SFO observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 17?
68-69°F 66%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 18%
НОВОЕ
$12,218 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,218 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
31%
68-69°F
54%
70-71°F
18%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
1%
76°F or higher
1%
68-69°F 66%
66-67°F 31%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 18%
НОВОЕ
$12,218 Объем
НОВОЕ
$12,218 Объем
17 апр. 2026 г.
57°F or below
$1,124 Объем
1%
58-59°F
$2,077 Объем
<1%
60-61°F
$3,051 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$812 Объем
7%
64-65°F
$470 Объем
18%
66-67°F
$390 Объем
31%
68-69°F
$1,433 Объем
54%
70-71°F
$785 Объем
18%
72-73°F
$646 Объем
4%
74-75°F
$1,019 Объем
1%
76°F or higher
$1,516 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's San Francisco high temperature market for April 17 closely splits among 66-67°F (30.5% implied probability), 68-69°F (26.5%), and 64-65°F (20%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a high near 67°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-15 mph. Key differentiators include the timing of morning marine stratus cloud burn-off—earlier clearance favors upper-60s peaks, while persistence caps at mid-60s—and afternoon onshore flow strength, which moderates coastal warming amid a weak upper-level ridge offshore. April climatology averages 63°F highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show slight spread due to variable boundary layer mixing; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official SFO observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Объем
$12,218Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket's San Francisco high temperature market for April 17 closely splits among 66-67°F (30.5% implied probability), 68-69°F (26.5%), and 64-65°F (20%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a high near 67°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-15 mph. Key differentiators include the timing of morning marine stratus cloud burn-off—earlier clearance favors upper-60s peaks, while persistence caps at mid-60s—and afternoon onshore flow strength, which moderates coastal warming amid a weak upper-level ridge offshore. April climatology averages 63°F highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show slight spread due to variable boundary layer mixing; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official SFO observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$12,218Дата окончания
17 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's San Francisco high temperature market for April 17 closely splits among 66-67°F (30.5% implied probability), 68-69°F (26.5%), and 64-65°F (20%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a high near 67°F under partly sunny skies with northwest winds 10-15 mph. Key differentiators include the timing of morning marine stratus cloud burn-off—earlier clearance favors upper-60s peaks, while persistence caps at mid-60s—and afternoon onshore flow strength, which moderates coastal warming amid a weak upper-level ridge offshore. April climatology averages 63°F highs, but model ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) show slight spread due to variable boundary layer mixing; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official SFO observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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